Australia is seeing unprecedented levels of long-term migration in 2025. According to data analyzed by the Institute of Public Affairs (IPA), net permanent and long-term arrivals (NPLT) have reached record highs.

Rather than viewing this surge as a sign that “migration is overcrowding,” it’s more helpful to understand it as a strong signal: there is genuine demand in Australia for people who plan to stay and contribute long-term. For skilled migrants, this is a major opportunity. But it’s also a moment to act strategically — because visa places are limited, and the current “wave” may not be sustainable forever.

What the Latest Data Really Says (Based on ABS)

According to the ABS’s National, State and Territory Population release (year to 31 March 2025), net overseas migration (NOM) — the official measure of migration — was 315,900 people.

This means migration is making a very strong contribution to Australia’s population growth: out of 423,400 people added to the population in that 12‑month period, around 75% came from overseas migration.

Looking at the ABS’s Overseas Arrivals and Departures data (June 2025 release), the net “permanent arrivals” (people who arrive declaring they intend to stay) was 9,840 for that month.

This “permanent arrivals” + “long-term resident returns” data from ABS provides a leading indicator of migration — not everyone who says they intend to stay will apply for permanent residency, but many do.

Putting these together: the ABS data shows a very strong inflow of people declaring long stays, and the NOM number confirms that a substantial part of that is translating into real, long-term population growth.

What that implies:

These ABS figures tell us that migration to Australia is not a short-term blip or just tourists coming in and out. A large portion of people arriving intend to stay — and a big chunk of them actually do. For someone planning to migrate, this suggests two things:

Demand is real: Australia continues to welcome people who plan to build their lives here.

Now is a good moment: Because migration is strong, there’s momentum — but places (in visa programs, for example) are not unlimited. Waiting too long could mean missing out.

Why This Is a Very Positive Signal for Migrants

High Demand for Long-Term Migrants

These record NPLT figures show Australia is not just taking in people for short stays — it needs people who will live and work here long-term. For migrants, this means that there is real appetite for stable, skilled immigration.

Stable Migration Cap = Predictability

The Australian government has set the 185,000 permanent migration places cap for 2025–26.

• This cap hasn’t been raised dramatically, but it’s large enough to allow for many skilled and deserving migrants.
• Having a cap gives you clarity: the program isn’t unlimited, but it’s also not shrinking.

Strategic Economic Planning

By bringing in more people who plan to stay, Australia can fill labor shortages, support economic growth, and strengthen its workforce. For migrants, that means more opportunities to secure jobs, build a career, and settle down.

Long-Term Residency is in Focus

Because many of these arrivals are “permanent and long-term,” the data suggests that these are not stopovers — these are people building careers and lives in Australia. If you’re serious about migrating, this is the kind of window you want to be part of.

What to Be Careful About — and Why It’s Not All Risk

Even with a positive outlook, there are potential risks. But being thoughtful can help you navigate them:

Public Debate Is Heating Up

With these record numbers, conversations in Australia about housing, infrastructure, and social services are becoming more intense. While that could lead to policy changes, the current migration program remains strong.

Visa Places May Fill Up

Even though the cap is high, the most popular visa streams (especially for skilled migrants) might reach capacity. That means the sooner you apply, the better your chances.

Policy Changes Are Always Possible

Immigration rules can change. But for now, the cap is stable, and skilled migration remains a strong priority.

Practical Advice: How to Take Advantage of This Moment

Here are simple, actionable steps for prospective migrants who want to make the most of this favorable situation:

Start Your Application Early

Don’t wait. With high demand, applying sooner gives you a better shot before spots run out or rules tighten.

Choose the Right Visa Path

Focus on skilled visa categories — particularly ones that align with what employers need. Think about employer‑sponsored visas or state-nominated visas if they make sense for your situation.

Consider Regional Options

Some regional areas have more room and demand for migrants. These places might be less competitive and offer a better quality of life and support.

Work With a Trusted Migration Advisor

Use a registered migration agent or adviser who understands the 2025–26 migration program. They can help you pick the right visa, time your application, and avoid mistakes.

Be Prepared, Not Rushed

Get your documents ready: qualifications, work experience, skills assessments. Show that you’re serious, stable, and here for the long term.

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The current migration surge in Australia isn’t just big — it’s strategic and sustained. This is a moment of strong demand, especially for people who plan to build their future here, not just stay temporarily.

For skilled migrants, now is an opportune time to act: to apply, to plan, and to make your move while the door is wide open. But it’s also a moment to be smart — apply early, choose the right visa, and work with good advice.

At JS Migration, we believe in helping people take advantage of these windows. If this feels like your moment, let’s talk about how to make it real.

POSTED: 28 Nov, 2025

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